Nova Mutum vs União Rondonópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.8%
Win probability
1.9
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.4%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.7%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.8%
3-0
7.5%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
11%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
19.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.2%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
21.6%
15.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
10.9%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.6%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nova Mutum
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
GAM
0 - 3
NME
56%
24%
20%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
BRA
3 - 1
NME
69%
19%
11%
|
47 | 61 | 14 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
NME
2 - 0
JAR
68%
20%
13%
|
47 | 36 | 11 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
APA
3 - 1
NME
54%
25%
21%
|
48 | 52 | 4 | -1 |
| 08 May. 2021 |
LTD
2 - 1
NME
28%
24%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
Matches
União Rondonópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Jun. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
BRA
13%
23%
64%
|
39 | 61 | 22 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
URO
2 - 1
GAM
18%
24%
58%
|
38 | 51 | 13 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2021 |
GOI
3 - 3
URO
68%
20%
13%
|
38 | 48 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2021 |
URO
1 - 1
POR
48%
25%
27%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 29 Apr. 2021 |
URO
1 - 1
ACA
30%
23%
47%
|
38 | 43 | 5 | 0 |