FA Cup 1/256
Global 4-0
Notts County vs Tamworth analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.2%
Win probability
2.09
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.8%
3-0
7.8%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.8%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
9.4%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.9%
14.9%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.2%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.5%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TAM
0 - 0
NOT
25%
23%
52%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
YEO
0 - 2
NOT
27%
25%
48%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2021 |
HAL
3 - 2
NOT
38%
26%
36%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
NOT
1 - 4
WOK
75%
16%
9%
|
56 | 41 | 15 | -2 |
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
ALT
1 - 0
NOT
24%
24%
52%
|
56 | 46 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Tamworth
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Oct. 2021 |
TAM
0 - 0
NOT
25%
23%
52%
|
47 | 54 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2021 |
TAM
4 - 0
STO
72%
17%
11%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | +1 |
| 09 Oct. 2021 |
RUS
1 - 2
TAM
34%
26%
40%
|
46 | 40 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2021 |
LEI
1 - 3
TAM
33%
25%
42%
|
45 | 36 | 9 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
BEL
0 - 5
TAM
26%
25%
50%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | +1 |