Notts County vs Oldham Athletic AFC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.8%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.4%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.5%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.1%
+4
4.3%
3-0
7.1%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.1%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.8%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
22.7%
Draw
0-0
7.3%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.7%
16.5%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.9%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
GRI
2 - 0
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 1985 |
MID
0 - 1
NOT
46%
28%
26%
|
66 | 63 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
NOT
1 - 3
STF
56%
24%
21%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 1985 |
NOT
0 - 0
CHA
60%
23%
17%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 1985 |
LEE
5 - 0
NOT
55%
24%
20%
|
68 | 72 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Oldham Athletic AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Feb. 1985 |
OPA
5 - 1
OLD
64%
22%
15%
|
61 | 68 | 7 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 1985 |
OLD
0 - 1
CAR
59%
24%
17%
|
62 | 57 | 5 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1985 |
SHE
2 - 0
OLD
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 1985 |
MID
1 - 2
OLD
50%
28%
23%
|
62 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 1985 |
OLD
1 - 1
LEE
41%
27%
33%
|
61 | 73 | 12 | +1 |