Notts County vs Gateshead analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68.3%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.1%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
4.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.7%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13.2%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7.2%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
10.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.1%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
4.2%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
13.2%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
1 - 3
SOU
36%
27%
37%
|
66 | 71 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2010 |
COL
2 - 1
NOT
39%
27%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
2 - 0
PLY
59%
24%
17%
|
66 | 61 | 5 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
CUM
1 - 0
NOT
44%
26%
31%
|
66 | 64 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
NOT
0 - 2
SHW
53%
25%
23%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | -1 |
Matches
Gateshead
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2010 |
GAT
2 - 3
CAM
42%
27%
30%
|
50 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2010 |
AFC
1 - 0
GAT
57%
23%
20%
|
51 | 58 | 7 | -1 |
| 09 Oct. 2010 |
GAT
3 - 1
TAM
43%
27%
31%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +2 |
| 05 Oct. 2010 |
KID
2 - 1
GAT
47%
25%
29%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | -1 |
| 02 Oct. 2010 |
GAT
1 - 1
MAN
32%
26%
41%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | 0 |