Notts County vs Fleetwood Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
58.8%
Win probability
1.95
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.1%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.5%
3-0
6.3%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
10.1%
2-0
9.7%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
9.9%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.2%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
21.7%
19.5%
Win probability
1.03
Expected goals
0-1
5.2%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.5%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Aug. 2013 |
SHE
2 - 1
NOT
59%
23%
18%
|
60 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Jul. 2013 |
NOT
2 - 2
RAY
19%
22%
58%
|
60 | 80 | 20 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
NOT
2 - 2
COV
46%
26%
28%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DON
0 - 1
NOT
51%
26%
23%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
NOT
3 - 1
COL
60%
23%
17%
|
59 | 54 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Fleetwood Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Aug. 2013 |
FLE
3 - 1
DAG
61%
22%
18%
|
53 | 48 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
AFC
2 - 1
FLE
45%
25%
30%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
FLE
1 - 3
CHE
48%
26%
26%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ROT
2 - 1
FLE
53%
24%
23%
|
55 | 56 | 1 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
FLE
0 - 3
ROC
58%
22%
19%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |