Notts County vs Doncaster Rovers analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.2%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.7%
3-1
1.3%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.3%
1-0
6.5%
2-1
4.7%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
12.5%
23.7%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.7%
58.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
13.3%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
11.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
18%
0-3
6.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
9.2%
0-4
2.8%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.7%
0-5
1%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.2%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
BRA
2 - 1
NOT
60%
23%
17%
|
50 | 56 | 6 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CHE
1 - 1
NOT
66%
20%
13%
|
49 | 57 | 8 | +1 |
| 26 Apr. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 0
WYC
23%
27%
50%
|
48 | 60 | 12 | +1 |
| 19 Apr. 2008 |
WRE
1 - 0
NOT
37%
28%
35%
|
49 | 45 | 4 | -1 |
| 12 Apr. 2008 |
NOT
1 - 0
STA
45%
26%
29%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Doncaster Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Aug. 2008 |
DER
0 - 1
DON
46%
26%
28%
|
70 | 65 | 5 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2008 |
DON
1 - 0
LEE
51%
25%
24%
|
70 | 70 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2008 |
DON
5 - 1
SOU
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | +1 |
| 09 May. 2008 |
SOU
0 - 0
DON
46%
25%
29%
|
69 | 68 | 1 | 0 |
| 03 May. 2008 |
CHE
2 - 1
DON
22%
27%
51%
|
70 | 55 | 15 | -1 |