Notts County vs Darlington FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.3%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
3.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13.1%
1-0
13%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.8%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
28%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
9.7%
1-2
6.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17.8%
0-2
4.9%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.4%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-18%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2007 |
HAR
1 - 1
NOT
69%
20%
12%
|
55 | 67 | 12 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
NOT
1 - 2
WAL
35%
28%
37%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
WRE
0 - 1
NOT
34%
28%
38%
|
55 | 50 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 0
BOS
57%
24%
19%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
NOT
2 - 0
GRI
48%
26%
25%
|
53 | 53 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Darlington FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2007 |
DAR
3 - 2
WYC
42%
27%
32%
|
57 | 59 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2007 |
MKD
1 - 0
DAR
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 59 | 1 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2007 |
DAR
1 - 1
LIN
45%
26%
30%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2007 |
CHE
1 - 1
DAR
39%
29%
33%
|
58 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2007 |
BAR
2 - 1
DAR
43%
28%
30%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | -1 |