Notts County vs Chelsea analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
53.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1%
4-0
2.3%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.1%
2-0
9.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
16.3%
1-0
11.5%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.9%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
22.6%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
6.9%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
14.5%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
1.9%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
1 - 0
NEW
54%
25%
21%
|
76 | 79 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
0 - 0
BUR
49%
25%
26%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 05 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
1 - 1
ASV
41%
26%
33%
|
76 | 83 | 7 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 1915 |
BRA
3 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
16%
|
76 | 81 | 5 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 1915 |
NOT
3 - 1
SHE
46%
27%
27%
|
75 | 83 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Chelsea
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 1915 |
EVE
2 - 2
CHL
69%
18%
13%
|
77 | 83 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 1915 |
SHE
3 - 0
CHL
66%
19%
15%
|
77 | 82 | 5 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 1915 |
CHL
1 - 3
MUD
55%
23%
23%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 1915 |
CHL
4 - 1
WBA
55%
24%
21%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 14 Apr. 1915 |
BOL
3 - 1
CHL
61%
21%
18%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | -1 |