Notts County vs Barnet analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
34.9%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
10.1%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.7%
40.4%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.3%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.7%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.2%
0-4
1.2%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-13%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notts County
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Mar. 2017 |
DON
3 - 1
NOT
67%
20%
13%
|
46 | 60 | 14 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
NOT
2 - 1
HAR
41%
25%
34%
|
45 | 47 | 2 | +1 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
STE
3 - 0
NOT
66%
19%
15%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
PLY
0 - 1
NOT
70%
18%
12%
|
44 | 59 | 15 | +2 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
NOT
0 - 0
YEO
34%
26%
40%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Barnet
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
YEO
46%
26%
28%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BAR
2 - 2
CRA
54%
24%
23%
|
50 | 47 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
STA
1 - 0
BAR
53%
23%
24%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Feb. 2017 |
BPO
2 - 2
BAR
52%
25%
23%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BAR
0 - 1
CAM
46%
26%
29%
|
51 | 53 | 2 | -1 |