Nottingham Forest vs Middlesbrough analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.6%
Win probability
1.28
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
7.6%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.8%
1-0
12%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.4%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
31.7%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
7.1%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.6%
1-3
2.6%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Sep. 2021 |
NTT
1 - 2
CAR
25%
27%
48%
|
65 | 74 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
DER
1 - 1
NTT
43%
28%
29%
|
65 | 63 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2021 |
NTT
0 - 4
WOL
22%
28%
51%
|
66 | 84 | 18 | -1 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
STO
1 - 0
NTT
54%
26%
20%
|
67 | 72 | 5 | -1 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
NTT
1 - 2
BBU
38%
28%
35%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Middlesbrough
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2021 |
COV
2 - 0
MID
43%
28%
29%
|
67 | 67 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2021 |
MID
1 - 1
BBU
39%
27%
34%
|
67 | 69 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2021 |
DER
0 - 0
MID
38%
28%
34%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2021 |
MID
2 - 3
QPR
36%
28%
36%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | -1 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
MID
2 - 1
BRI
45%
26%
29%
|
67 | 63 | 4 | +1 |