Nottingham Forest vs Manchester City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39.3%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.3%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
11.7%
2-1
8.2%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
27.8%
Draw
0-0
9.4%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.8%
32.9%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
0-1
10.5%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
9.1%
0-3
2.2%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+1%
+2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Jan. 2000 |
QPR
1 - 1
NTT
43%
26%
31%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
NTT
0 - 0
WBA
58%
24%
18%
|
63 | 56 | 7 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2000 |
CHL
2 - 0
NTT
74%
17%
8%
|
64 | 88 | 24 | -1 |
| 15 Jan. 2000 |
GRI
4 - 3
NTT
33%
27%
40%
|
65 | 55 | 10 | -1 |
| 08 Jan. 2000 |
OXF
1 - 3
NTT
45%
25%
30%
|
64 | 59 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Manchester City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 2000 |
SHE
1 - 0
MAC
40%
27%
34%
|
70 | 61 | 9 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2000 |
MAC
4 - 0
FUL
46%
26%
28%
|
69 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2000 |
MAC
2 - 5
LEE
23%
26%
51%
|
70 | 86 | 16 | -1 |
| 03 Jan. 2000 |
CRE
1 - 1
MAC
35%
28%
37%
|
70 | 58 | 12 | 0 |
| 28 Dec. 1999 |
MAC
2 - 1
GRI
67%
21%
12%
|
70 | 56 | 14 | 0 |