Nottingham Forest vs Arsenal analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.5%
Win probability
1.33
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.7%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.6%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
41.6%
Win probability
1.51
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.7%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
12.4%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingham Forest
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
ASV
4 - 0
NTT
71%
17%
12%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
NTT
3 - 1
ASV
30%
27%
43%
|
70 | 83 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
NEW
1 - 0
NTT
62%
22%
16%
|
70 | 85 | 15 | 0 |
| 02 Jan. 1923 |
BOL
4 - 2
NTT
70%
18%
13%
|
71 | 83 | 12 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
NTT
0 - 1
NEW
37%
31%
32%
|
71 | 84 | 13 | 0 |
Matches
Arsenal
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jan. 1923 |
MAC
0 - 0
ARS
62%
20%
18%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 1923 |
ARS
1 - 0
MAC
45%
26%
30%
|
79 | 84 | 5 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 1923 |
STO
1 - 0
ARS
31%
25%
44%
|
79 | 70 | 9 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 1923 |
BBU
0 - 5
ARS
61%
20%
19%
|
78 | 82 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Dec. 1922 |
ARS
3 - 0
STO
64%
20%
16%
|
78 | 71 | 7 | 0 |