Nottingen vs Spielberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
76.3%
Win probability
2.85
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.7%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.6%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.4%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3.3%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.3%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
5.8%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.3%
2-0
9.1%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.8%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.9%
13.9%
Draw
0-0
2.2%
1-1
6.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
13.9%
9.7%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
0-1
2.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
6.7%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+136%
+43%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nottingen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
NOT
0 - 1
VIL
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2018 |
NOT
1 - 3
SAN
89%
8%
4%
|
32 | 18 | 14 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
NOT
2 - 1
GOP
46%
21%
33%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2018 |
BAL
3 - 1
NOT
66%
18%
15%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2018 |
NOT
0 - 0
FRE
45%
22%
34%
|
32 | 35 | 3 | -2 |
Matches
Spielberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Apr. 2018 |
TSB
3 - 0
SPI
60%
19%
22%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2018 |
VIL
1 - 0
SPI
78%
13%
9%
|
21 | 34 | 13 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2018 |
SPI
1 - 3
GOP
23%
21%
56%
|
22 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 07 Apr. 2018 |
SPI
0 - 3
AST
75%
15%
11%
|
23 | 17 | 6 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2018 |
SPI
0 - 3
BAL
19%
21%
60%
|
24 | 40 | 16 | -1 |