Notodden vs Lysekloster analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1%
3-0
1.9%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.3%
2-0
4.3%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.7%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
17%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.2%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
46%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.9%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
13.9%
0-3
3.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
6.7%
0-4
1.7%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.6%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-36%
+22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
5
9º
14º
13º
13
3º
14º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
2º
|
14 | 48 |
1º
|
23.5% | |
|
1º
|
16 | 47 |
2º
|
22.5% | |
|
4º
|
13 | 47 |
3º
|
9.5% | |
|
|
3º
|
13 | 44 |
4º
|
10.5% | |
|
5º
|
13 | 44 |
5º
|
13.5% | |
|
7º
|
10 | 41 |
6º
|
15% | |
|
11º
|
8 | 39 |
7º
|
11% | |
|
8º
|
9 | 37 |
8º
|
9.5% | |
|
9º
|
9 | 34 |
9º
|
11.5% | |
|
10º
|
9 | 34 |
10º
|
13.5% | |
|
6º
|
11 | 33 |
11º
|
12.5% | |
|
12º
|
7 | 26 |
12º
|
22% | |
|
|
13º
|
5 | 24 |
13º
|
33% | |
|
14º
|
2 | 14 |
14º
|
73.5% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 10% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 12.5% |
|
Mid-table
|
36.5% | 75.5% |
|
Relegation
|
63.5% | 2% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notodden
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
BRA
2 - 0
NOT
54%
21%
25%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 14 Apr. 2024 |
NOT
0 - 0
ETO
33%
24%
44%
|
46 | 49 | 3 | 0 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
FRA
2 - 1
NOT
27%
22%
51%
|
47 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 06 Apr. 2024 |
SSK
2 - 1
NOT
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2024 |
EID
3 - 0
NOT
61%
19%
21%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Lysekloster
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Apr. 2024 |
STO
0 - 4
LYS
15%
18%
68%
|
48 | 32 | 16 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2024 |
LYS
2 - 1
FKA
33%
24%
43%
|
47 | 52 | 5 | +1 |
| 13 Apr. 2024 |
LYS
1 - 3
VAR
61%
20%
19%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2024 |
FAN
0 - 2
LYS
30%
22%
48%
|
47 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Apr. 2024 |
FFC
2 - 1
LYS
37%
24%
38%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | -1 |