Noto vs Real Agro Aversa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
26.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.5%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
2.1%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
6.9%
1-0
8.9%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
16.8%
26.9%
Draw
0-0
9%
1-1
12.6%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.9%
46.8%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
0-1
12.8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
24.1%
0-2
9%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
14.1%
0-3
4.3%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
6%
0-4
1.5%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0%
-4
2%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
DTO
1 - 1
NOT
46%
24%
30%
|
34 | 36 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 May. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 0
TBR
64%
20%
16%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
AGR
2 - 1
NOT
56%
24%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | -2 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 0
TOR
36%
27%
38%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | +2 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
NOT
0 - 3
ROC
54%
22%
24%
|
37 | 31 | 6 | -2 |
Matches
Real Agro Aversa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Sep. 2015 |
RAA
3 - 1
REG
25%
25%
50%
|
41 | 48 | 7 | 0 |
| 30 May. 2015 |
RAA
3 - 1
ISC
32%
27%
41%
|
39 | 44 | 5 | +2 |
| 23 May. 2015 |
ISC
4 - 1
RAA
47%
27%
26%
|
40 | 42 | 2 | -1 |
| 09 May. 2015 |
RAA
1 - 1
MAT
20%
26%
54%
|
39 | 52 | 13 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
LRO
0 - 2
RAA
55%
25%
21%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +2 |