Noto vs Pomigliano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
55.5%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.5%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.3%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
8.5%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.1%
1-0
12.6%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
24.2%
Draw
0-0
7.5%
1-1
11.5%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.2%
20.3%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
6.8%
1-2
5.2%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
13.6%
0-2
3.1%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
FCS
3 - 1
NOT
63%
21%
17%
|
38 | 44 | 6 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 0
REN
64%
20%
16%
|
38 | 28 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
TOR
2 - 1
NOT
45%
25%
30%
|
38 | 37 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NOT
0 - 0
CIT
62%
21%
18%
|
39 | 30 | 9 | -1 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
DTO
2 - 2
NOT
25%
23%
51%
|
39 | 28 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Pomigliano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
POM
3 - 0
RAG
74%
17%
9%
|
33 | 15 | 18 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
ORL
3 - 1
POM
35%
25%
41%
|
35 | 25 | 10 | -2 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
POM
2 - 1
USV
51%
26%
22%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | +1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
AGR
2 - 1
POM
54%
23%
23%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2014 |
POM
1 - 0
ASD
57%
25%
18%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | +1 |