Noto vs Nuvla San Felice analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
52.1%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.2%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.2%
24.8%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
CIT
0 - 2
NOT
44%
25%
31%
|
34 | 34 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
ASD
2 - 0
NOT
59%
21%
19%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
NOT
1 - 1
ACS
60%
21%
19%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
POL
1 - 0
NOT
53%
23%
24%
|
36 | 38 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
NOT
2 - 1
LIC
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +3 |
Matches
Nuvla San Felice
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Nov. 2011 |
NUV
1 - 0
ACR
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2011 |
MES
1 - 0
NUV
65%
20%
15%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2011 |
VAL
1 - 1
NUV
57%
22%
21%
|
31 | 36 | 5 | 0 |
| 16 Oct. 2011 |
NUV
0 - 0
NIS
40%
25%
36%
|
31 | 38 | 7 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2011 |
NUV
3 - 4
POL
38%
25%
38%
|
33 | 38 | 5 | -2 |