Notch vs WBC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.1%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.2%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.8%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.8%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
35.9%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
0-1
5.9%
1-2
8%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
18.4%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
1.4%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
10.6%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.7%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
NOT
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 0
RHO
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 3
NOT
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
NOT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2015 |
NOT
1 - 2
INT
45%
23%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
WBC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TAK
2 - 1
WBC
46%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
RHO
4 - 2
WBC
47%
22%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
WBC
4 - 3
NIS
58%
20%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2015 |
WBC
1 - 1
EXC
52%
22%
27%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
WBC
5 - 0
EXC
50%
22%
28%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |