Notch vs Takdier Boys analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.5%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.1%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.7%
23.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.7%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.5%
30%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
2.8%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.2%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
8.5%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 4
WBC
41%
23%
36%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
BOT
2 - 2
NOT
49%
22%
29%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2015 |
NOT
2 - 0
RHO
46%
24%
31%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Nov. 2015 |
VIC
1 - 3
NOT
57%
21%
22%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Nov. 2015 |
EXC
2 - 3
NOT
51%
23%
26%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Takdier Boys
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Dec. 2015 |
TAK
0 - 2
VIC
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 12 Dec. 2015 |
TRA
0 - 1
TAK
45%
23%
31%
|
32 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 2015 |
TAK
2 - 1
WBC
46%
22%
33%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Nov. 2015 |
TAK
2 - 2
EXC
48%
22%
30%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2015 |
INT
2 - 2
TAK
53%
22%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | 0 |