Notch vs FC Inter Wanica analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
75.8%
Win probability
2.74
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.2%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5%
4-0
6.1%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.9%
3-0
9%
4-1
5.5%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.1%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.9%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.6%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.5%
2-2
4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
9.8%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
0-1
2.4%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.8%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.9%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.6%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-10%
+4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Notch
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2025 |
FLO
1 - 3
NOT
20%
21%
60%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2025 |
RHO
3 - 2
NOT
59%
19%
21%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | -1 |
| 15 Feb. 2025 |
NOT
0 - 2
VOO
57%
22%
21%
|
29 | 26 | 3 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
NOT
3 - 1
INT
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 27 | 1 | +1 |
| 03 Feb. 2025 |
NOT
1 - 1
PVV
56%
22%
22%
|
27 | 25 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
FC Inter Wanica
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Mar. 2025 |
IWA
1 - 1
FLO
51%
20%
28%
|
16 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2025 |
IWA
0 - 2
VOO
24%
21%
55%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2025 |
IWA
0 - 5
BFC
51%
20%
28%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | -1 |
| 08 Feb. 2025 |
VIC
0 - 2
IWA
64%
18%
19%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | +1 |
| 01 Feb. 2025 |
RHO
4 - 0
IWA
83%
10%
7%
|
17 | 29 | 12 | 0 |