UEFA EC U19 Group A Round 1

Noruega U19 vs Italia U19 analysis

Noruega U19 Italia U19
51 ELO 58
0% Tilt 0%
2585º General ELO ranking 1839º
38º Country ELO ranking 66º
ELO win probability
26.8%
Noruega U19
24%
Draw
49.2%
Italia U19

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
26.8%
Win probability
Noruega U19
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.5%
2-0
4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.4%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
49.2%
Win probability
Italia U19
1.69
Expected goals
0-1
9.6%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.3%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.8%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Noruega U19
+14%
+16%
Italia U19

ELO progression

Noruega U19
Italia U19
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Noruega U19
Noruega U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2003
NED
Países Bajos U19
1 - 1
Noruega U19
NOR
60%
21%
19%
51 56 5 0
04 May. 2003
GRC
Grecia U19
0 - 1
Noruega U19
NOR
52%
23%
25%
50 52 2 +1
02 May. 2003
NOR
Noruega U19
2 - 1
Hungria U19
HUN
38%
25%
38%
50 52 2 0
14 Nov. 2002
BIH
Bosnia U19
2 - 6
Noruega U19
NOR
45%
24%
31%
48 48 0 +2
12 Nov. 2002
NOR
Noruega U19
0 - 1
Chipre U19
CYP
42%
24%
33%
49 50 1 -1

Matches

Italia U19
Italia U19
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
06 May. 2003
NIR
Irlanda del Norte U19
0 - 2
Italia U19
ITA
15%
21%
64%
57 46 11 0
04 May. 2003
ITA
Italia U19
3 - 1
Georgia U19
GEO
74%
16%
10%
57 47 10 0
02 May. 2003
ITA
Italia U19
4 - 1
Letonia U19
LVA
76%
15%
9%
57 45 12 0
16 Oct. 2002
SVK
Eslovaquia U19
1 - 2
Italia U19
ITA
46%
24%
30%
56 56 0 +1
14 Oct. 2002
ITA
Italia U19
3 - 1
Lituania U19
LTU
66%
19%
15%
55 48 7 +1