Northwood vs Ware analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
65.4%
Win probability
2.22
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.1%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.3%
3-0
7.4%
4-1
4%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.4%
2-0
10%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
9.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
8.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.1%
15.5%
Win probability
0.98
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
4.4%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
10.3%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
3.8%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
UXB
0 - 3
NOR
33%
24%
43%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
NOR
0 - 4
ROY
36%
24%
40%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | -2 |
| 30 Jan. 2016 |
CHA
0 - 3
NOR
52%
23%
25%
|
32 | 32 | 0 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 1
BEA
58%
22%
21%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | +1 |
| 09 Jan. 2016 |
NOR
2 - 2
RUS
23%
24%
53%
|
30 | 42 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Ware
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2016 |
EGH
3 - 2
WAR
64%
20%
16%
|
24 | 33 | 9 | 0 |
| 13 Feb. 2016 |
WAR
3 - 1
PET
38%
22%
40%
|
22 | 26 | 4 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 1
LEI
72%
17%
12%
|
22 | 16 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Feb. 2016 |
RUS
3 - 0
WAR
81%
12%
6%
|
23 | 40 | 17 | -1 |
| 02 Feb. 2016 |
WAR
1 - 4
ROY
22%
22%
56%
|
24 | 35 | 11 | -1 |