Northwood vs Bedford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
25.7%
Win probability
1.15
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
0.7%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.3%
2-0
3.8%
3-1
2.5%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
3-2
2.1%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
15.6%
24%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
24%
50.3%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
0-1
9.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
5.4%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.8%
1-4
2.3%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
CHI
3 - 1
NOR
74%
16%
10%
|
28 | 42 | 14 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
HIT
4 - 2
NOR
51%
24%
26%
|
30 | 30 | 0 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
NOR
2 - 3
MER
31%
25%
44%
|
31 | 41 | 10 | -1 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
NOR
1 - 4
BRA
22%
24%
54%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -2 |
| 23 Apr. 2005 |
SLO
1 - 1
NOR
57%
22%
21%
|
33 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Bedford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Aug. 2005 |
BED
2 - 0
YAT
45%
24%
31%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2005 |
BED
2 - 3
CHE
59%
21%
20%
|
42 | 32 | 10 | -2 |
| 13 Aug. 2005 |
SAL
1 - 0
BED
45%
25%
30%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 02 May. 2005 |
CHI
2 - 2
BED
51%
23%
26%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2005 |
GRA
1 - 2
BED
43%
25%
33%
|
42 | 39 | 3 | 0 |