Northwood vs Ashford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.4%
Win probability
1.38
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
+4
0.9%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
7.8%
1-0
5%
2-1
6.7%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
15.4%
22%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
22%
50.6%
Win probability
1.94
Expected goals
0-1
7%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
21.6%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
6.1%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4.4%
1-4
3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.3%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.1%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.6%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
-5
1.3%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-16%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 3
CHE
11%
17%
73%
|
13 | 27 | 14 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
SOU
3 - 2
NOR
70%
16%
14%
|
14 | 16 | 2 | -1 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 0
FCR
64%
18%
18%
|
13 | 11 | 2 | +1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
NOR
1 - 1
BAS
28%
22%
50%
|
13 | 19 | 6 | 0 |
| 22 Sep. 2020 |
BUR
1 - 0
NOR
58%
21%
21%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Ashford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2020 |
ASH
3 - 1
SOU
42%
23%
35%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2020 |
UXB
0 - 0
ASH
77%
14%
9%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2020 |
ASH
0 - 2
TOO
15%
20%
65%
|
16 | 28 | 12 | -1 |
| 26 Sep. 2020 |
HUL
0 - 1
ASH
48%
21%
31%
|
15 | 17 | 2 | +1 |
| 19 Sep. 2020 |
CHA
0 - 1
ASH
55%
21%
24%
|
15 | 18 | 3 | 0 |