Northwood vs Ashford Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
27.8%
Win probability
1.45
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
3.2%
2-0
3.3%
3-1
3.2%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
4.5%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
15.3%
21.6%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
6.7%
3-3
2.2%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
21.6%
50.6%
Win probability
2.01
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.2%
0-2
6.3%
1-3
6.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.2%
0-3
4.2%
1-4
3.1%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
1.2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
3.7%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.4%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.4%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.4%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+9%
-22%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwood
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 2
SOU
65%
18%
17%
|
19 | 15 | 4 | 0 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
DUN
2 - 0
NOR
37%
24%
40%
|
19 | 16 | 3 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
WES
1 - 2
NOR
63%
19%
18%
|
19 | 22 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 Sep. 2018 |
NOR
2 - 2
WAR
46%
22%
31%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 2018 |
HAY
6 - 0
NOR
84%
11%
5%
|
19 | 36 | 17 | -1 |
Matches
Ashford Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2018 |
ASH
1 - 2
LEW
27%
24%
49%
|
24 | 36 | 12 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2018 |
ASH
3 - 0
WES
62%
19%
19%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | +1 |
| 16 Oct. 2018 |
WES
2 - 3
ASH
35%
21%
44%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | +1 |
| 13 Oct. 2018 |
ASH
0 - 0
WES
52%
21%
28%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2018 |
HAY
7 - 1
ASH
77%
14%
9%
|
23 | 37 | 14 | -1 |