Northwich Victoria vs Wolv. Casuals analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
71.6%
Win probability
2.48
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.5%
5-0
2.6%
6-1
1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.3%
5-1
2.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.2%
3-0
8.6%
4-1
4.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
14.6%
2-0
10.4%
3-1
7.8%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.7%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.1%
16.5%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.5%
11.8%
Win probability
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
3.1%
1-2
3.5%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-17%
-20%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2024 |
SHT
3 - 0
NOR
46%
23%
31%
|
30 | 31 | 1 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
WUL
1 - 1
NOR
32%
24%
44%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
CON
2 - 0
NOR
67%
20%
13%
|
33 | 45 | 12 | -2 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
WHI
2 - 1
NOR
27%
22%
51%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | -2 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 2
STO
36%
25%
39%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Wolv. Casuals
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2024 |
CON
7 - 0
WOL
82%
13%
6%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 30 Dec. 2023 |
STU
1 - 1
WOL
73%
16%
12%
|
21 | 36 | 15 | -1 |
| 26 Dec. 2023 |
TIV
1 - 0
WOL
56%
22%
22%
|
22 | 27 | 5 | -1 |
| 23 Dec. 2023 |
WOL
1 - 3
DUD
69%
17%
15%
|
23 | 16 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Dec. 2023 |
DTF
4 - 0
WOL
75%
14%
11%
|
25 | 39 | 14 | -2 |