Northwich Victoria vs Market Drayton Town analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
75.3%
Win probability
2.34
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.9%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
6.3%
5-1
1.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.5%
3-0
10.8%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.5%
2-0
13.8%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
22.2%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.3%
16.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
7.6%
2-2
2.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
16.1%
8.6%
Win probability
0.65
Expected goals
0-1
3.3%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.6%
3-4
0.1%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1.1%
1-3
0.5%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
1.7%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.3%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northwich Victoria
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
HUC
1 - 2
NOR
14%
21%
65%
|
51 | 26 | 25 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
SUT
0 - 5
NOR
21%
23%
56%
|
50 | 32 | 18 | +1 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
NOR
3 - 4
STA
73%
17%
10%
|
50 | 31 | 19 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
UNM
4 - 1
NOR
44%
25%
31%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | -1 |
| 17 Apr. 2012 |
NOR
1 - 0
BRA
54%
23%
23%
|
50 | 45 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Market Drayton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Sep. 2012 |
MAR
3 - 2
BEL
24%
23%
53%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2012 |
ROM
1 - 1
MAR
41%
25%
34%
|
28 | 26 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Aug. 2012 |
MAR
2 - 3
HAL
67%
18%
15%
|
28 | 22 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Aug. 2012 |
GRE
2 - 0
MAR
26%
24%
51%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | -1 |
| 21 Apr. 2012 |
BRI
3 - 0
MAR
39%
24%
37%
|
30 | 25 | 5 | -1 |