Northern Virginia vs Virginia Legacy analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
45.5%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.6%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
5.2%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
7.9%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.6%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.4%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
6.3%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
30.9%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
0-1
6.3%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
17.2%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
3.4%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.4%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Virginia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Jul. 2009 |
WES
2 - 1
NOR
53%
22%
25%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2009 |
NOR
2 - 3
REA
16%
22%
62%
|
27 | 50 | 23 | 0 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 3
CAR
27%
23%
49%
|
29 | 41 | 12 | -2 |
| 19 Jun. 2009 |
NOR
1 - 1
FRE
32%
24%
44%
|
28 | 38 | 10 | +1 |
| 14 Jun. 2009 |
NOR
3 - 0
WES
37%
24%
39%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +2 |
Matches
Virginia Legacy
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Jul. 2009 |
VIR
2 - 3
WES
50%
23%
27%
|
30 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CAR
5 - 1
VIR
74%
16%
10%
|
31 | 43 | 12 | -1 |
| 27 Jun. 2009 |
CAR
3 - 0
VIR
71%
18%
11%
|
32 | 45 | 13 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
VIR
0 - 2
CAR
31%
26%
43%
|
34 | 42 | 8 | -2 |
| 21 Jun. 2009 |
VIR
1 - 5
REA
19%
23%
58%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | +1 |