Northern Rovers vs Mt Albert Ponsonby analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
22.6%
Win probability
1.41
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.1%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
2.4%
3-1
2.6%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
6.3%
1-0
3.4%
2-1
5.5%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
12.9%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
2.4%
1-1
7.9%
2-2
6.4%
3-3
2.3%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
19.6%
57.8%
Win probability
2.31
Expected goals
0-1
5.6%
1-2
9.1%
2-3
4.9%
3-4
1.3%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
21.3%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
7%
2-4
2.9%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5%
1-4
4.1%
2-5
1.3%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
10.7%
0-4
2.9%
1-5
1.9%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.3%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
2.3%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Rovers
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jun. 2023 |
NRF
0 - 1
FEN
21%
19%
60%
|
12 | 17 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 May. 2023 |
NRF
11 - 0
COL
37%
22%
42%
|
10 | 10 | 0 | +2 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
FEN
3 - 0
NRF
44%
22%
34%
|
11 | 11 | 0 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
NRF
5 - 0
MAN
15%
17%
69%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | +2 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
WHU
3 - 0
NRF
71%
16%
13%
|
9 | 16 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Mt Albert Ponsonby
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 May. 2023 |
MAP
1 - 3
NGA
52%
21%
28%
|
18 | 16 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jun. 2022 |
MAP
0 - 3
EAS
9%
13%
79%
|
19 | 48 | 29 | -1 |
| 14 May. 2022 |
MAP
11 - 1
OFC
71%
17%
13%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 19 Jun. 2021 |
MEL
1 - 0
MAP
77%
13%
9%
|
18 | 36 | 18 | 0 |
| 05 Jun. 2021 |
ONE
3 - 4
MAP
80%
12%
8%
|
18 | 44 | 26 | 0 |