Northern Fury vs SWQ Thunder analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.5%
Win probability
2.2
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.4%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
8-4
<0%
+4
3.7%
3-0
3.1%
4-1
3.1%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.3%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.8%
2-0
4.2%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.8%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.8%
1-0
3.8%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
5.3%
4-3
1.8%
5-4
0.4%
6-5
0.1%
+1
19.1%
20.3%
Draw
0-0
1.7%
1-1
7.1%
2-2
7.2%
3-3
3.3%
4-4
0.8%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.3%
33.2%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
4.5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.1%
0-2
3%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
5-7
0%
-2
9.8%
0-3
1.8%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.7%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northern Fury
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
RED
3 - 4
NOF
87%
9%
5%
|
16 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
NOF
8 - 0
SUN
45%
20%
35%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
BRI
3 - 0
NOF
83%
11%
6%
|
16 | 25 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
NOF
2 - 0
FNQ
9%
14%
77%
|
12 | 31 | 19 | +4 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
MOR
3 - 1
NOF
90%
7%
3%
|
12 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
Matches
SWQ Thunder
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Mar. 2017 |
BRR
4 - 3
SWQ
61%
18%
20%
|
18 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
PAL
2 - 0
SWQ
82%
12%
7%
|
19 | 37 | 18 | -1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
RED
1 - 0
SWQ
81%
11%
8%
|
19 | 28 | 9 | 0 |
| 04 Mar. 2017 |
SWQ
2 - 2
SUN
58%
18%
23%
|
19 | 17 | 2 | 0 |
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
BRI
4 - 1
SWQ
69%
16%
15%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | -1 |