Northampton vs Stevenage analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.6%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.1%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.5%
24.7%
Draw
0-0
6.6%
1-1
11.7%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.7%
25.7%
Win probability
1.1
Expected goals
0-1
7.2%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.9%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.2%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+6%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2014 |
ROC
2 - 1
NOR
65%
21%
15%
|
55 | 63 | 8 | 0 |
| 14 Nov. 2014 |
CAM
2 - 1
NOR
56%
24%
21%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 11 Nov. 2014 |
LEY
2 - 0
NOR
61%
22%
17%
|
57 | 64 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
0 - 0
ROC
29%
24%
47%
|
56 | 64 | 8 | +1 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 0
AFC
51%
24%
25%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Stevenage
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Nov. 2014 |
MAI
2 - 1
STE
41%
25%
34%
|
56 | 52 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 Nov. 2014 |
STE
5 - 1
CHE
46%
26%
28%
|
54 | 56 | 2 | +2 |
| 09 Nov. 2014 |
STE
0 - 0
MAI
43%
24%
32%
|
54 | 55 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Nov. 2014 |
TRA
2 - 2
STE
39%
27%
34%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2014 |
STE
1 - 0
BUR
39%
26%
36%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |