Northampton vs Salford City analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
40.4%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.6%
3-0
3.2%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.9%
2-0
6.9%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.9%
1-0
9.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
26%
Draw
0-0
7%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
33.7%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.5%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
9.6%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SCU
3 - 0
NOR
33%
26%
41%
|
54 | 48 | 6 | 0 |
| 08 Oct. 2019 |
CAM
0 - 1
NOR
31%
25%
44%
|
53 | 51 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
NOR
0 - 1
LEY
48%
25%
27%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
MOR
2 - 2
NOR
26%
26%
48%
|
54 | 45 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
NOR
2 - 2
CRA
49%
25%
26%
|
54 | 52 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Salford City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Oct. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 0
CAM
54%
24%
22%
|
54 | 50 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2019 |
WAL
0 - 3
SAL
44%
25%
31%
|
52 | 51 | 1 | +2 |
| 28 Sep. 2019 |
SAL
0 - 4
FOR
36%
27%
37%
|
53 | 58 | 5 | -1 |
| 21 Sep. 2019 |
CRE
4 - 1
SAL
48%
24%
28%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -2 |
| 17 Sep. 2019 |
SAL
1 - 0
GRI
51%
24%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | +1 |