Northampton vs Millwall analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
36.4%
Win probability
1.18
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
1%
3-0
2.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3.7%
2-0
6.7%
3-1
3.1%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
10.3%
1-0
11.4%
2-1
7.8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.1%
28.1%
Draw
0-0
9.7%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
28.1%
35.5%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
7.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
20.8%
0-2
6.5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-2%
+8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northampton
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
NOR
3 - 2
CUM
38%
29%
33%
|
58 | 60 | 2 | 0 |
| 06 Jan. 2007 |
TRA
1 - 1
NOR
57%
24%
19%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
YEO
0 - 0
NOR
53%
25%
22%
|
58 | 62 | 4 | 0 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
NOR
2 - 0
CHE
47%
28%
25%
|
57 | 55 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Dec. 2006 |
OLD
3 - 0
NOR
58%
24%
19%
|
58 | 63 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Millwall
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 20 Jan. 2007 |
MIL
4 - 0
ROT
50%
27%
23%
|
61 | 56 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jan. 2007 |
BHA
0 - 1
MIL
45%
26%
30%
|
61 | 58 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Jan. 2007 |
STO
2 - 0
MIL
60%
23%
17%
|
62 | 70 | 8 | -1 |
| 01 Jan. 2007 |
MIL
4 - 1
GIL
42%
27%
31%
|
61 | 57 | 4 | +1 |
| 26 Dec. 2006 |
BRE
1 - 4
MIL
35%
27%
38%
|
60 | 53 | 7 | +1 |