Northallerton Town vs Newton Aycliffe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
12.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.5%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
0.8%
2-0
1.5%
3-1
1.1%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
3%
1-0
3.2%
2-1
3.6%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
8.5%
16.9%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
7.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
16.9%
70.7%
Win probability
2.44
Expected goals
0-1
8.4%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.6%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.3%
0-2
10.3%
1-3
7.7%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
20.6%
0-3
8.4%
1-4
4.7%
2-5
1.1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
14.3%
0-4
5.1%
1-5
2.3%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
7.9%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.9%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
3.6%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.4%
0-7
0.4%
1-8
0.1%
2-9
0%
-7
0.5%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-26%
+13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Northallerton Town
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
0 - 4
PIC
54%
20%
26%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Apr. 2023 |
NOR
2 - 1
GUI
23%
21%
56%
|
19 | 27 | 8 | +4 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
WHI
0 - 3
NOR
78%
13%
9%
|
18 | 27 | 9 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 1
PEN
46%
22%
32%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2023 |
NOR
1 - 2
THO
51%
21%
28%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Newton Aycliffe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Apr. 2023 |
CCF
1 - 2
NEW
15%
18%
67%
|
39 | 23 | 16 | 0 |
| 04 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
4 - 0
CEL
76%
14%
10%
|
37 | 25 | 12 | +2 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
9 - 0
SUN
86%
9%
5%
|
36 | 17 | 19 | +1 |
| 01 Apr. 2023 |
NEW
3 - 1
WHI
74%
15%
11%
|
36 | 26 | 10 | 0 |
| 25 Mar. 2023 |
ASH
1 - 1
NEW
42%
22%
36%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +2 |