North Wellington AFC vs Waterside Karori analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.6%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.4%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
1.6%
5-1
1.2%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
3.2%
3-0
3%
4-1
2.9%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
4.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.7%
6-4
0.1%
7-5
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
8%
3-2
5%
4-3
1.6%
5-4
0.3%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.1%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
7.3%
3-3
3%
4-4
0.7%
5-5
0.1%
6-6
<0%
0
20.8%
34.6%
Win probability
1.82
Expected goals
0-1
3.7%
1-2
7%
2-3
4.4%
3-4
1.4%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
3.4%
1-3
4.2%
2-4
2%
3-5
0.5%
4-6
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.9%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0.1%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-11%
-54%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Wellington AFC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2021 |
NWA
1 - 3
WAF
94%
5%
2%
|
24 | 7 | 17 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
NWA
4 - 6
PET
90%
7%
3%
|
25 | 12 | 13 | -1 |
| 15 Aug. 2021 |
WAI
2 - 2
NWA
59%
19%
22%
|
25 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
LHC
3 - 1
NWA
80%
12%
8%
|
25 | 40 | 15 | 0 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WKA
0 - 3
NWA
48%
21%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Waterside Karori
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2021 |
WSU
3 - 1
WKA
78%
14%
8%
|
25 | 41 | 16 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2021 |
WKA
4 - 4
LHC
14%
16%
70%
|
24 | 39 | 15 | +1 |
| 07 Aug. 2021 |
WKA
3 - 2
NAP
26%
20%
54%
|
24 | 30 | 6 | 0 |
| 31 Jul. 2021 |
WKA
4 - 0
PET
87%
9%
4%
|
23 | 12 | 11 | +1 |
| 24 Jul. 2021 |
WKA
0 - 3
NWA
48%
21%
32%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | -2 |