North Sunshine Eagles vs Hume City FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.8%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.3%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.6%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.6%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.9%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
3.9%
2-1
5.1%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
11.7%
19.6%
Draw
0-0
3.4%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.6%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.6%
61.6%
Win probability
2.23
Expected goals
0-1
7.5%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
4.2%
3-4
0.9%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
8.4%
1-3
7.2%
2-4
2.3%
3-5
0.4%
4-6
0%
-2
18.4%
0-3
6.2%
1-4
4%
2-5
1%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.8%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0%
-4
5.7%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.7%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.4%
0-6
0.6%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North Sunshine Eagles
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
NSE
4 - 4
PLI
6%
12%
82%
|
19 | 68 | 49 | 0 |
| 18 Mar. 2017 |
BCS
1 - 5
NSE
18%
20%
62%
|
18 | 11 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Mar. 2017 |
ESR
0 - 2
NSE
66%
18%
16%
|
17 | 27 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
Hume City FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29 Apr. 2017 |
HUM
0 - 1
OAK
55%
22%
22%
|
36 | 32 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2017 |
SOU
1 - 0
HUM
53%
22%
25%
|
36 | 35 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2017 |
HEU
0 - 1
HUM
63%
21%
17%
|
35 | 42 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Apr. 2017 |
HUM
3 - 0
NCF
79%
13%
8%
|
35 | 10 | 25 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2017 |
HUM
1 - 0
AVH
59%
20%
21%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | +1 |