Non League Premier Jor. 21

North Ferriby United vs Bradford Park Avenue analysis

North Ferriby United Bradford Park Avenue
42 ELO 42
11.5% Tilt 1.5%
8561º General ELO ranking 8510º
442º Country ELO ranking 436º
ELO win probability
42.5%
North Ferriby United
23.4%
Draw
34.1%
Bradford Park Avenue

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.5%
Win probability
North Ferriby United
1.69
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
2.1%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
6%
2-0
5.9%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.8%
1-0
7%
2-1
8.8%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.5%
23.4%
Draw
0-0
4.2%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.4%
34.1%
Win probability
Bradford Park Avenue
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
6.2%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
18.1%
0-2
4.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.2%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
10%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
0.9%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.4%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
North Ferriby United
-16%
-1%
Bradford Park Avenue

ELO progression

North Ferriby United
Bradford Park Avenue
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

North Ferriby United
North Ferriby United
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2011
NOR
North Ferriby United
1 - 5
Chester
CHE
29%
24%
48%
43 53 10 0
03 Dec. 2011
BUX
Buxton
1 - 3
North Ferriby United
NOR
28%
26%
46%
42 32 10 +1
29 Nov. 2011
NOR
North Ferriby United
3 - 2
Corby Town
COR
36%
23%
41%
41 47 6 +1
26 Nov. 2011
COR
Corby Town
1 - 1
North Ferriby United
NOR
59%
21%
20%
41 47 6 0
22 Nov. 2011
FRI
Frickley Athletic
1 - 0
North Ferriby United
NOR
22%
26%
52%
42 33 9 -1

Matches

Bradford Park Avenue
Bradford Park Avenue
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
10 Dec. 2011
FRI
Frickley Athletic
1 - 2
Bradford Park Avenue
BRA
17%
23%
60%
42 33 9 0
03 Dec. 2011
BRA
Bradford Park Avenue
2 - 2
Matlock Town
MAT
53%
23%
23%
42 42 0 0
26 Nov. 2011
CHA
Chasetown
0 - 4
Bradford Park Avenue
BRA
39%
25%
36%
41 40 1 +1
21 Nov. 2011
BRA
Bradford Park Avenue
0 - 1
Marine
MAR
48%
24%
28%
42 44 2 -1
19 Nov. 2011
ASH
Ashton United
0 - 1
Bradford Park Avenue
BRA
30%
23%
46%
42 33 9 0
X