North District vs Lung Moon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
76.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3.4%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.9%
4-0
6.4%
5-1
2.8%
6-2
0.5%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.8%
3-0
9.6%
4-1
5.3%
5-2
1.2%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.2%
2-0
10.8%
3-1
7.9%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
8.1%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.5%
9.1%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
2.8%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
6.5%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.8%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
North District
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
ISD
1 - 4
NDT
57%
20%
23%
|
27 | 29 | 2 | 0 |
| 02 Mar. 2014 |
NDT
1 - 3
LEA
29%
23%
48%
|
29 | 40 | 11 | -2 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
NDT
0 - 7
TUN
28%
23%
49%
|
32 | 42 | 10 | -3 |
| 09 Feb. 2014 |
CWD
3 - 2
NDT
72%
17%
11%
|
33 | 49 | 16 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
ORN
3 - 3
NDT
37%
23%
40%
|
33 | 27 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Lung Moon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
TUN
3 - 0
LMO
81%
13%
6%
|
20 | 42 | 22 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
LMO
0 - 3
ISD
29%
23%
48%
|
21 | 29 | 8 | -1 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
LMO
2 - 3
FUK
21%
20%
59%
|
22 | 33 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
LMO
0 - 2
LEA
18%
21%
61%
|
23 | 42 | 19 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2014 |
SOL
1 - 5
LMO
21%
22%
57%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | +1 |