Division 1 South Round 24

Norrby vs Tvååker analysis

Norrby Tvååker
57 ELO 50
7.8% Tilt 9.8%
3712º General ELO ranking 5683º
41º Country ELO ranking 71º
ELO win probability
63%
Norrby
20.8%
Draw
16.2%
Tvååker

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63%
Win probability
Norrby
2.01
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.6%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.3%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.2%
3-0
7.3%
4-1
3.3%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
10.9%
3-1
6.6%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.3%
1-0
10.8%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.3%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
5.4%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.8%
16.3%
Win probability
Tvååker
0.91
Expected goals
0-1
4.9%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.9%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Norrby
+23%
+4%
Tvååker

Points and table prediction

Norrby
Their league position
Tvååker
CURR.POS.
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
11º
31
15º
15º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
15º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Falkenbergs
63
63
100%
Lunds
56
56
100%
Eskilsminne
48
48
100%
BK Olympic
45
45
100%
Ängelholm
45
45
100%
Trollhattan FC
44
44
100%
Jönköpings Södra
44
44
100%
Norrby
41
41
0%
Rosengård
41
41
0%
Torslanda IK
10º
40
40
10º
100%
Ljungskile
11º
38
38
11º
100%
Oskarshamns AIK
12º
37
37
12º
100%
Ariana FC
13º
35
35
13º
100%
Torns
14º
34
34
14º
100%
Tvååker
15º
31
31
15º
100%
Onsala
16º
18
18
16º
100%
Expected probabilities
Norrby
Tvååker
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 0%
Relegation play-offs
0% 0%
Relegation
0% 100%

ELO progression

Norrby
Tvååker
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Norrby
Norrby
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
TOR
Torns
2 - 2
Norrby
NOR
25%
24%
52%
57 48 9 0
15 Sep. 2024
NOR
Norrby
3 - 3
Onsala
OBK
75%
16%
9%
58 41 17 -1
09 Sep. 2024
NOR
Norrby
0 - 1
Falkenbergs
FAL
23%
24%
53%
58 70 12 0
02 Sep. 2024
JON
Jönköpings Södra
1 - 0
Norrby
NOR
36%
26%
39%
59 57 2 -1
24 Aug. 2024
NOR
Norrby
0 - 1
Eskilsminne
ESK
52%
24%
23%
60 58 2 -1

Matches

Tvååker
Tvååker
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
22 Sep. 2024
TVA
Tvååker
1 - 1
Trollhattan FC
TRO
27%
26%
47%
50 55 5 0
14 Sep. 2024
OLY
BK Olympic
1 - 1
Tvååker
TVA
46%
26%
29%
50 51 1 0
07 Sep. 2024
TVA
Tvååker
1 - 2
Rosengård
ROS
38%
27%
35%
51 51 0 -1
01 Sep. 2024
TVA
Tvååker
2 - 1
Eskilsminne
ESK
24%
27%
50%
50 58 8 +1
25 Aug. 2024
AFC
Ariana FC
4 - 1
Tvååker
TVA
45%
25%
30%
52 51 1 -2