Noroeste vs Rio Branco SP analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
33%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
5.2%
3-1
3.3%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.4%
1-0
8%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
18.6%
25.2%
Draw
0-0
6.2%
1-1
11.9%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.2%
41.8%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
0-1
9.2%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
21.4%
0-2
6.8%
1-3
4.4%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
12.5%
0-3
3.4%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
5.4%
0-4
1.3%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.8%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Feb. 2017 |
COM
1 - 1
NOR
61%
22%
17%
|
44 | 52 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
0 - 1
ATI
42%
25%
33%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
IND
0 - 1
NOR
50%
25%
25%
|
44 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
NOR
2 - 2
INT
31%
26%
44%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | +1 |
| 08 Feb. 2017 |
DES
1 - 0
NOR
26%
23%
50%
|
44 | 35 | 9 | -1 |
Matches
Rio Branco SP
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Mar. 2017 |
RIO
0 - 0
PAU
54%
24%
22%
|
49 | 47 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
3 - 0
COM
35%
26%
39%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 2017 |
FLA
1 - 0
RIO
27%
25%
49%
|
49 | 42 | 7 | -1 |
| 11 Feb. 2017 |
RIO
1 - 0
MAR
61%
22%
17%
|
48 | 43 | 5 | +1 |
| 07 Feb. 2017 |
INT
2 - 0
RIO
38%
26%
36%
|
49 | 49 | 0 | -1 |