Noroeste vs Palmeiras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
21.1%
Win probability
0.86
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
<0%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
7.8%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.1%
4-3
0.1%
+1
14.3%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
9.1%
1-1
12%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
25.7%
53.2%
Win probability
1.54
Expected goals
0-1
13.9%
1-2
9.2%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
25.5%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
4.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
16.3%
0-3
5.5%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
7.6%
0-4
2.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
-4
2.7%
0-5
0.6%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.8%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.2%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Apr. 1978 |
NOR
3 - 1
FOR
27%
30%
43%
|
54 | 79 | 25 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
NOR
0 - 1
COM
48%
26%
27%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Palmeiras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Apr. 1978 |
PAL
3 - 0
FLA
79%
14%
8%
|
90 | 56 | 34 | 0 |
| 26 Mar. 1978 |
BOT
0 - 0
PAL
33%
26%
41%
|
89 | 76 | 13 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1978 |
OPE
2 - 0
PAL
30%
26%
44%
|
88 | 74 | 14 | +1 |
| 18 Feb. 1978 |
PAL
1 - 3
SAN
64%
22%
14%
|
89 | 82 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 Feb. 1978 |
PAL
5 - 1
AME
60%
24%
15%
|
89 | 83 | 6 | 0 |