Noroeste vs Ituano analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
39%
Win probability
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.8%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.2%
2-0
5.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
19.6%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
6.6%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
37.4%
Win probability
1.56
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
19.2%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
4.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
11.1%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.7%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
4.8%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.7%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.5%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-4%
-26%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
NOR
2 - 1
GUA
48%
23%
29%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2008 |
NOR
0 - 1
GUA
43%
24%
33%
|
54 | 57 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
JUV
1 - 1
NOR
37%
25%
39%
|
55 | 48 | 7 | -1 |
| 05 Aug. 2007 |
NOR
2 - 2
FRI
52%
24%
24%
|
55 | 53 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jul. 2007 |
RIO
1 - 0
NOR
39%
26%
35%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | -1 |
Matches
Ituano
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Jan. 2008 |
ITU
1 - 1
SAO
14%
23%
63%
|
57 | 88 | 31 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2008 |
ITU
1 - 0
POR
27%
25%
48%
|
56 | 70 | 14 | +1 |
| 16 Jan. 2008 |
PPE
4 - 2
ITU
67%
19%
14%
|
56 | 68 | 12 | 0 |
| 24 Nov. 2007 |
AVA
4 - 0
ITU
49%
26%
25%
|
57 | 61 | 4 | -1 |
| 17 Nov. 2007 |
ITU
0 - 1
CRB
44%
26%
31%
|
58 | 58 | 0 | -1 |