Noroeste vs Grêmio Osasco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.2%
Win probability
1.8
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
5%
4-1
2.6%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.2%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
5.8%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.9%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
23.1%
Draw
0-0
5.1%
1-1
10.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.1%
24.7%
Win probability
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
6%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
15%
0-2
3.5%
1-3
2.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.7%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.7%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
FER
1 - 1
NOR
38%
26%
36%
|
55 | 51 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 0
CAT
50%
25%
26%
|
54 | 53 | 1 | +1 |
| 31 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
1 - 0
NOR
42%
26%
33%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2013 |
NOR
1 - 1
RIO
57%
22%
21%
|
55 | 49 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
JUV
0 - 4
NOR
35%
26%
39%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Grêmio Osasco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 06 Feb. 2013 |
POR
4 - 0
GRE
74%
17%
9%
|
51 | 75 | 24 | 0 |
| 03 Feb. 2013 |
GRE
0 - 0
GUA
31%
25%
44%
|
51 | 57 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Jan. 2013 |
RIO
4 - 4
GRE
41%
24%
35%
|
51 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2013 |
VEL
0 - 1
GRE
52%
23%
26%
|
50 | 52 | 2 | +1 |
| 23 Jan. 2013 |
GRE
1 - 0
FER
40%
25%
35%
|
49 | 51 | 2 | +1 |