Noroeste vs Fernandópolis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
64.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
4%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.9%
3-0
7.6%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.1%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
19.6%
1-0
10%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.8%
19.7%
Draw
0-0
4.7%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.7%
15.4%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
10.4%
0-2
2%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.7%
0-3
0.6%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+10%
-52%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Noroeste
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
ASS
2 - 0
NOR
21%
23%
56%
|
42 | 24 | 18 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
1 - 2
VOT
37%
25%
38%
|
44 | 49 | 5 | -2 |
| 05 Apr. 2014 |
TUP
3 - 1
NOR
52%
24%
24%
|
45 | 45 | 0 | -1 |
| 03 Apr. 2014 |
NOR
2 - 2
MAT
33%
25%
42%
|
44 | 51 | 7 | +1 |
| 29 Mar. 2014 |
INT
5 - 1
NOR
56%
26%
18%
|
45 | 53 | 8 | -1 |
Matches
Fernandópolis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
FER
1 - 2
GRE
33%
25%
42%
|
30 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 08 Jun. 2014 |
BAR
0 - 0
FER
64%
20%
16%
|
30 | 43 | 13 | 0 |
| 25 May. 2014 |
FER
0 - 1
OLI
24%
22%
55%
|
31 | 42 | 11 | -1 |
| 17 May. 2014 |
TAN
0 - 4
FER
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 23 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
FER
1 - 1
BEB
29%
24%
47%
|
29 | 38 | 9 | +1 |