Paulista A3 Temporada Regular. Jor. 9

Noroeste vs Olímpia FC analysis

Noroeste Olímpia FC
42 ELO 42
-2% Tilt -8.7%
2580º General ELO ranking 8060º
76º Country ELO ranking 341º
ELO win probability
47%
Noroeste
24.9%
Draw
28.1%
Olímpia FC

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
47%
Win probability
Noroeste
1.59
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.4%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.6%
2-0
8%
3-1
5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.3%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
28.1%
Win probability
Olímpia FC
1.17
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
16.8%
0-2
4.3%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Noroeste
+35%
-13%
Olímpia FC

ELO progression

Noroeste
Olímpia FC
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Noroeste
Noroeste
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
24 Feb. 2016
ITA
Itapirense
1 - 0
Noroeste
NOR
46%
26%
28%
43 44 1 0
21 Feb. 2016
SAO
São José
1 - 2
Noroeste
NOR
50%
25%
26%
42 43 1 +1
17 Feb. 2016
NOR
Noroeste
1 - 1
Flamengo SP
FLA
38%
25%
38%
42 46 4 0
13 Feb. 2016
MAT
Matonense
1 - 1
Noroeste
NOR
62%
21%
17%
42 48 6 0
10 Feb. 2016
NOR
Noroeste
2 - 1
Sertãozinho
SER
34%
26%
41%
40 47 7 +2

Matches

Olímpia FC
Olímpia FC
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
25 Feb. 2016
OLI
Olímpia FC
1 - 1
Primavera SP
PRI
41%
26%
34%
42 44 2 0
21 Feb. 2016
GRÊ
Grêmio Barueri
0 - 2
Olímpia FC
OLI
30%
25%
45%
41 29 12 +1
17 Feb. 2016
GRE
Grêmio Osasco
2 - 1
Olímpia FC
OLI
48%
26%
26%
42 46 4 -1
14 Feb. 2016
OLI
Olímpia FC
4 - 2
São José
SAO
31%
27%
42%
39 46 7 +3
10 Feb. 2016
OLI
Olímpia FC
1 - 1
Matonense
MAT
26%
25%
50%
39 48 9 0
X