Norild vs Follo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
28.2%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
1.2%
3-0
1.5%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
3.5%
2-0
2.9%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
8.1%
1-0
3.6%
2-1
6.3%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
15%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
8%
2-2
6.9%
3-3
2.7%
4-4
0.6%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.5%
51.2%
Win probability
2.18
Expected goals
0-1
5%
1-2
8.7%
2-3
5%
3-4
1.5%
4-5
0.3%
5-6
0%
-1
20.5%
0-2
5.4%
1-3
6.3%
2-4
2.8%
3-5
0.6%
4-6
0.1%
-2
15.3%
0-3
4%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.2%
4-7
0%
-3
8.9%
0-4
2.2%
1-5
1.5%
2-6
0.4%
3-7
0.1%
-4
4.2%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
1.7%
0-6
0.3%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Norild
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 May. 2019 |
NOR
6 - 2
FRI
6%
11%
83%
|
16 | 42 | 26 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 8
TRO
4%
9%
87%
|
16 | 68 | 52 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2019 |
NOR
1 - 1
VAL
4%
8%
88%
|
14 | 43 | 29 | +2 |
| 13 Apr. 2019 |
MJO
6 - 1
NOR
92%
6%
3%
|
15 | 25 | 10 | -1 |
| 05 Oct. 2013 |
NOR
2 - 3
PIL
39%
22%
39%
|
19 | 21 | 2 | -4 |
Matches
Follo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 May. 2019 |
FOL
3 - 0
IFR
56%
21%
23%
|
28 | 29 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 May. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 2
BAR
14%
19%
67%
|
29 | 51 | 22 | -1 |
| 27 Apr. 2019 |
FRI
1 - 1
FOL
80%
13%
8%
|
28 | 43 | 15 | +1 |
| 22 Apr. 2019 |
FOL
1 - 4
FKT
25%
21%
54%
|
30 | 41 | 11 | -2 |
| 15 Apr. 2019 |
VAL
8 - 2
FOL
80%
12%
8%
|
32 | 43 | 11 | -2 |