Nootdorp vs ARC Alphense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.1%
Win probability
2.08
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.3%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.8%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
9.5%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.5%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.6%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
9.6%
2-2
5%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.5%
17.5%
Win probability
1.01
Expected goals
0-1
4.6%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
11.4%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.6%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.3%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-14%
-55%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nootdorp
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
NOO
2 - 2
VOL
61%
20%
18%
|
30 | 22 | 8 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
VAL
0 - 1
NOO
24%
22%
54%
|
30 | 19 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
NOO
2 - 0
HED
70%
17%
13%
|
29 | 20 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
FSP
0 - 1
NOO
42%
22%
36%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | +1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
NOO
3 - 3
ARG
28%
24%
49%
|
28 | 35 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
ARC Alphense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARC
1 - 2
VAL
68%
17%
15%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2016 |
FCS
3 - 0
ARC
55%
22%
24%
|
24 | 27 | 3 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
ARG
0 - 0
ARC
71%
17%
12%
|
24 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2016 |
ARC
0 - 1
SCN
64%
20%
16%
|
25 | 21 | 4 | -1 |
| 19 Mar. 2016 |
CSW
0 - 1
ARC
28%
23%
49%
|
24 | 20 | 4 | +1 |