Nõmme United vs Paide analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
1%
4-1
0.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.4%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.7%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5.1%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
5.3%
3-2
1.4%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
23.9%
Draw
0-0
7.1%
1-1
11.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.9%
55.6%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
0-1
12.2%
1-2
9.7%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.8%
0-2
10.4%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17.1%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0%
-3
8.7%
0-4
2.5%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.4%
0-5
0.9%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1.1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
+4%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
10º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
15
7º
10º
10º
72
2º
4º
3º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
3º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
87 | 87 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
72 | 72 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
|
3º
|
72 | 72 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
70 | 70 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
42 | 42 |
5º
|
0% | |
|
6º
|
42 | 42 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
35 | 35 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
34 | 34 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
31 | 31 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
|
10º
|
15 | 15 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Champions League qualifying phase (1st r
|
0% | 0% |
|
Conference League knock out round
|
0% | 100% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
100% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
TAL
1 - 0
NOM
50%
22%
28%
|
60 | 63 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2024 |
LEV
1 - 1
NOM
71%
18%
11%
|
60 | 78 | 18 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 2
PAR
54%
23%
23%
|
60 | 61 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2024 |
NOM
0 - 4
FLO
21%
24%
55%
|
61 | 78 | 17 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2024 |
KUR
4 - 1
NOM
49%
23%
29%
|
62 | 66 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
Paide
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Oct. 2024 |
FLO
0 - 2
PAI
53%
22%
25%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 0
TAM
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 65 | 13 | 0 |
| 23 Oct. 2024 |
PAR
0 - 1
PAI
23%
24%
52%
|
78 | 63 | 15 | 0 |
| 20 Oct. 2024 |
PAI
2 - 1
FLO
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 06 Oct. 2024 |
PAI
1 - 1
KAL
50%
24%
27%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |