Nõmme United vs Paide II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
78.3%
Win probability
2.79
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.3%
7-0
0.7%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.9%
6-0
1.8%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2.4%
5-0
3.8%
6-1
1.5%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
5.6%
4-0
6.9%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
10.7%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.3%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
16.9%
2-0
10.6%
3-1
8%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.3%
1-0
7.6%
2-1
8.6%
3-2
3.3%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.1%
13.4%
Draw
0-0
2.7%
1-1
6.2%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
13.4%
8.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
2.2%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
5.9%
0-2
0.9%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-29%
-22%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
7º
1º
41
3º
10º
7º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
7º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Jul. 2023 |
VJK
0 - 1
NOM
26%
23%
52%
|
60 | 56 | 4 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
JKJ
0 - 6
NOM
7%
13%
80%
|
59 | 28 | 31 | +1 |
| 11 Jun. 2023 |
NOM
2 - 0
FLO
61%
21%
18%
|
59 | 55 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
NOM
3 - 0
TAB
63%
20%
18%
|
58 | 52 | 6 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 2
NOM
20%
20%
60%
|
57 | 48 | 9 | +1 |
Matches
Paide II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Jul. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
TAB
30%
22%
48%
|
43 | 50 | 7 | 0 |
| 29 Jun. 2023 |
FCE
0 - 3
PAI
53%
21%
26%
|
42 | 46 | 4 | +1 |
| 12 Jun. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 0
PAI
68%
18%
14%
|
42 | 54 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2023 |
PAI
2 - 2
VJK
26%
24%
50%
|
42 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2023 |
PAI
0 - 1
FCT
30%
23%
48%
|
43 | 51 | 8 | -1 |