Nõmme United vs Levadia Tallinn II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.1%
Win probability
1.83
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.8%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.4%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
8.1%
2-0
7.7%
3-1
5.9%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
15.5%
1-0
8.4%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.5%
22.9%
Draw
0-0
4.6%
1-1
10.5%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
22.9%
26.1%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
15.3%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
2.7%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
7.2%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.6%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.7%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-8%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
90
1º
7º
1º
57
1º
5º
4º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
4º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
90 | 90 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
71 | 71 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
69 | 69 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
|
4º
|
57 | 57 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
55 | 55 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
52 | 52 |
6º
|
100% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
21 | 21 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
20 | 20 |
10º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
100% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation play-offs
|
0% | 0% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Nõmme United
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
FLO
3 - 6
NOM
44%
22%
35%
|
56 | 54 | 2 | 0 |
| 21 Apr. 2023 |
NOM
1 - 1
FCE
67%
19%
15%
|
56 | 50 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 3
NOM
21%
20%
59%
|
56 | 44 | 12 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
VJK
1 - 1
NOM
38%
24%
39%
|
56 | 56 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Apr. 2023 |
FCT
1 - 3
NOM
38%
23%
39%
|
55 | 55 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Levadia Tallinn II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Apr. 2023 |
LEV
1 - 1
FCT
56%
22%
22%
|
56 | 53 | 3 | 0 |
| 08 Apr. 2023 |
TJK
1 - 2
LEV
32%
24%
45%
|
56 | 48 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Apr. 2023 |
PAI
1 - 2
LEV
30%
23%
48%
|
56 | 45 | 11 | 0 |
| 19 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
2 - 1
TAB
57%
21%
22%
|
56 | 51 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Mar. 2023 |
LEV
5 - 1
FCE
56%
22%
22%
|
55 | 52 | 3 | +1 |